Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.030893 0.036153 0.041954 0.048817 0.056701 0.065463 0.075925
2025-06-29 0.021871 0.028390 0.036273 0.046461 0.059230 0.074651 0.094627
2025-07-06 0.016474 0.023445 0.032582 0.045335 0.062555 0.084862 0.115787
2025-07-13 0.013838 0.021343 0.031895 0.047626 0.070250 0.101333 0.146917
2025-07-20 0.011698 0.019412 0.030967 0.049238 0.077024 0.117211 0.179098
2025-07-27 0.009424 0.016770 0.028455 0.047984 0.079266 0.126710 0.203111
2025-08-03 0.007825 0.014857 0.026678 0.047459 0.082347 0.137561 0.230089
2025-08-10 0.006396 0.012929 0.024510 0.045873 0.083368 0.145127 0.252538
2025-08-17 0.005322 0.011417 0.022776 0.044698 0.084794 0.153315 0.276616
2025-08-24 0.004604 0.010437 0.021824 0.044726 0.088217 0.165059 0.307636
2025-08-31 0.003876 0.009287 0.020348 0.043525 0.089192 0.172552 0.331900
2025-09-07 0.003582 0.009003 0.020530 0.045541 0.096386 0.191775 0.378728
2025-09-14 0.003122 0.008268 0.019694 0.045441 0.099581 0.204188 0.414753
2025-09-21 0.002638 0.007375 0.018372 0.044131 0.100188 0.211771 0.442503
2025-09-28 0.002276 0.006705 0.017434 0.043505 0.102107 0.222063 0.476418
2025-10-05 0.002151 0.006620 0.017839 0.045949 0.110849 0.246794 0.541065
2025-10-12 0.001993 0.006413 0.017915 0.047633 0.118109 0.269159 0.602883
2025-10-19 0.001714 0.005800 0.016870 0.046478 0.118822 0.277873 0.637319
2025-10-26 0.001504 0.005341 0.016145 0.045998 0.121018 0.289927 0.679791
2025-11-02 0.001283 0.004791 0.015076 0.044473 0.120522 0.295994 0.709870
2025-11-09 0.001107 0.004344 0.014209 0.043338 0.120821 0.303830 0.744450
2025-11-16 0.000992 0.004071 0.013795 0.043369 0.124031 0.318591 0.795724
2025-11-23 0.000857 0.003693 0.012998 0.042203 0.124012 0.325775 0.830282